1 State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China 2 College of Water Conservancy and Architectural Engineering, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003, China 3 Xinjiang Water Conservancy and Hydropower Planning and Design Management Bureau, Urumqi 830000, China
Efficient agricultural water use is crucial for food safety and water conservation on a global scale. To quantitatively investigate the agricultural water-use efficiency in regions exhibiting the complex agricultural structure, this study developed an indicator named water footprint of crop values (WFV) that is based on the water footprint of crop production. Defined as the water volume used to produce a unit price of crop (m3/CNY), the new indicator makes it feasible to directly compare the water footprint of different crops from an economic perspective, so as to comprehensively evaluate the water-use efficiency under the complex planting structure. On the basis of WFV, the study further proposed an indicator of structural water-use coefficient (SWUC), which is represented by the ratio of water-use efficiency for a given planting structure to the water efficiency for a reference crop and can quantitatively describe the impact of planting structure on agricultural water efficiency. Then, a case study was implemented in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China. The temporal and spatial variations of WFV were assessed for the planting industries in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang between 1991 and 2015. In addition, contribution rate analysis of WFV for different prefectures and cities was conducted to evaluate the variations of WFV caused by different influencing factors: agricultural input, climatic factors, and planting structure. Results from these analyses indicated first that the average WFV of planting industries in Xinjiang significantly decreased from 0.293 m3/CNY in 1991 to 0.153 m3/CNY in 2015, corresponding to an average annual change rate of -3.532%. WFV in 13 prefectures and cities (with the exception of Karamay) has declined significantly during the period of 1991-2015, indicating that agricultural water-use efficient has effectively improved. Second, the average SWUC in Xinjiang decreased from 1.17 to 1.08 m3/CNY in the 1990s, and then declined to 1.00 m3/CNY in 2011-2015. The value of SWUC was highly consistent with the relative value of WFV in most prefectures and cities, showing that planting structure is one of the primary factors affecting regional agricultural water-use efficiency. Third, the contribution rate of WFV variations from human factors including agricultural input and planting structure was much more significant than that from climatic factors. However, the distribution of agricultural input and the adjustment of planting structure significantly differed among prefectures and cities, suggesting regional imbalances of agricultural development. This study indicated the feasibility and effectiveness of controlling agricultural water use through increasing technical input and rational selection of crops in the face of impending climate change. Specifically, we concluded that, the rational application of chemical fertilizers, the development of the fruit industry, and the strict restriction of the cotton industry should be implemented to improve the agricultural water-use efficiency in Xinjiang.
HAI Yang, LONG Aihua, ZHANG Pei, DENG Xiaoya, LI Junfeng, DENG Mingjiang. Evaluating agricultural water-use efficiency based on water footprint of crop values: a case study in Xinjiang of China. Journal of Arid Land, 2020, 12(4): 580-593.
Fig. 1 Overview of northern Xinjiang (Altay, Tacheng, Karamay, Bortala, Changji, Urumqi, and Ili), southern Xinjiang (Kizilsu, Kashgar, Aksu, Hotan, and Bayingol), and eastern Xinjiang (Turpan and Hami)
Fig. 2 Variations in water footprint of crop values (WFV) in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang at different time periods from 1991 to 2015
Region
Prefecture/ city
Agricultural machinery power per unit area of cultivated land (kw/hm2)
Average annual change rate (%)
1991-1995
1996-2000
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Northern
Altay
3.35
3.64
4.41
5.82
5.69
3.197
Xinjiang
Tacheng
2.74
3.98
5.90
5.78
5.30
3.968
Karamay
2.09
2.61
2.10
3.28
3.07
4.756
Bortala
2.87
3.01
3.63
4.12
4.08
2.532
Ili
3.62
4.44
5.76
6.39
7.26
3.854
Changji
2.52
2.88
3.21
3.11
3.19
1.709
Urumqi
6.09
5.80
6.16
6.52
9.01
2.987
Eastern
Turpan
7.31
8.59
7.70
6.62
6.44
-0.005
Xinjiang
Hami
3.92
4.63
5.00
4.46
4.38
0.004
Southern
Hotan
1.44
1.65
1.99
2.07
2.71
3.299
Xinjiang
Aksu
1.49
1.99
2.32
2.58
2.89
3.637
Bayingol
2.78
3.19
3.69
3.57
4.21
2.442
Kashgar
1.90
2.18
2.96
4.19
5.32
4.940
Kizilsu
1.12
1.43
1.83
2.16
2.98
5.205
Average
2.41
2.90
3.52
3.68
4.08
2.856
Table 1 Agricultural machinery power per unit area of cultivated land in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang at different time periods from 1991 to 2015
Region
Prefecture/city
Consumption of N fertilizers per unit area of cultivated land (kg/hm2)
Average annual change rate (%)
1991-1995
1996-2000
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Northern
Altay
185
316
272
347
378
4.367
Xinjiang
Tacheng
185
308
432
514
519
5.255
Karamay
218
237
189
347
482
6.271
Bortala
211
299
303
386
418
3.846
Ili
188
312
367
460
562
6.341
Changji
140
191
224
250
274
4.058
Urumqi
200
257
353
417
562
6.000
Eastern
Turpan
151
165
172
201
297
4.409
Xinjiang
Hami
152
204
205
248
324
4.344
Southern
Hotan
186
271
253
252
263
2.690
Xinjiang
Aksu
210
320
327
351
383
3.734
Bayingol
271
395
425
446
467
3.376
Kashgar
211
226
206
283
288
2.085
Kizilsu
241
270
264
315
316
2.391
Average
198
280
304
353
387
3.754
Table 2 Consumption of N fertilizers per unit area of cultivated land in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang at different time periods from 1991 to 2015
Temperature (+); sunshine hours (+); relative humidity (-)
Kashgar
Sunshine hours (-)
Average
Temperature (+)
Table 3 Climatic factors significantly (P<0.05) associated with water footprint of crop values (WFV) and their trends in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang during the period 1991-2015
Cotton
Wheat
Rice
Maize
Sugar crops
Soybean
Oil crops
Fruits
Vegetables
WFV (m3/CNY)
0.893
0.472
0.394
0.353
0.331
0.234
0.132
0.046
0.029
Table 4 Average WFV of major crops in Xinjiang during the period 1991-2015
Region
Prefecture/city
SWUC (m3/CNY)
Average annual change rate (%)
1991-1995
1996-2000
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Northern
Altay
0.95
0.89
0.62
0.59
0.54
-0.031
Xinjiang
Tacheng
1.02
1.06
0.90
1.03
0.96
-0.004
Karamay
1.38
1.96
2.20
2.26
1.73
0.009
Bortala
2.31
1.85
1.34
1.46
1.65
-0.018
Ili
0.59
0.57
0.61
0.62
0.61
0.003
Changji
1.05
1.31
1.20
1.03
0.98
-0.007
Urumqi
0.76
0.97
1.08
1.04
0.61
-0.010
Eastern
Turpan
1.04
1.01
0.73
0.56
0.68
-0.026
Xinjiang
Hami
0.91
0.85
0.53
0.40
0.41
-0.048
Southern
Hotan
1.11
1.29
1.07
1.00
1.02
-0.008
Xinjiang
Aksu
1.22
1.33
1.09
1.21
1.19
-0.003
Bayingol
1.11
1.37
1.20
1.14
1.16
-0.002
Kashgar
1.25
1.27
1.18
1.21
1.04
-0.013
Kizilsu
1.21
1.41
1.22
1.02
1.00
-0.008
Average
1.08
1.17
1.04
1.02
1.00
-0.006
Table 5 Variations in the regional structural water-use coefficient (SWUC) in 14 prefectures and cities of Xinjiang at different time periods from 1991 to 2015
Region
Prefecture/ city
Contribution rate (%)
Agricultural machinery power
Consumption of N fertilizers
Planting structure
Climatic factors
Other factors
Standard error
Northern
Altay
35.95
32.40
30.59
-
1.06
0.205
Xinjiang
Tacheng
40.39
50.28
5.49
3.06
0.78
0.086
Karamay
-
-
63.09
-
36.91
0.293
Bortala
25.19
39.01
17.18
27.71
-9.09
0.209
Ili
37.10
52.08
-
18.37
-7.55
0.111
Changji
14.59
43.73
0.10
24.42
17.15
0.193
Urumqi
22.17
64.85
-
12.95
0.03
0.206
Eastern
Turpan
-
36.65
22.75
17.19
23.41
0.224
Xinjiang
Hami
-
49.97
7.81
26.16
16.06
0.165
Southern
Hotan
46.29
2.68
20.23
3.23
27.57
0.092
Xinjiang
Aksu
36.67
28.43
-
18.04
16.85
0.146
Bayingol
32.41
32.67
4.06
15.70
15.16
0.151
Kashgar
50.62
13.27
12.43
15.69
8.00
0.189
Kizilsu
72.77
21.26
7.80
0.85
-2.69
0.101
Table 6 Contribution rates of influence factors to reduce WFV in Xinjiang during the period 1991-2015
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